Tag Archives: NFC East

More Vick-tims On The Schedule

Philadelphia Eagles running back LeSean McCoy (25) runs for a touchdown against the New York Giants during the fourth quarter of their NFL football game in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, November 21, 2010. REUTERS/Tim Shaffer (UNITED STATES)

With 10 games gone in the season, the Eagles have hold of a very respectable 7-3 record. So what’s in store for the rest of the year? Are we cruising towards a 13-3 NFC East domination or heading into the face of a 7-9 collapse? Here are my thoughts.

Of the 10 games so far, Michael Vick has a 5-0 record when starting the game and not being knocked out of it through injury. That’s an impressive record that surely no-one predicted before Vick 2.0 was unleashed. Kolb has managed a 2-1 record, which when added to Vick’s efforts, gives 7-1. The other two games were when one of the Quarterbacks was knocked out of the game (Packers and Redskins) and both resulted in losses. Probably not a huge surprise, given that Vick and Kolb are very different players working within a set game plan. Without those injuries, we could be looking at 9-1. However, without Kolb’s injury in Week 1 we probably wouldn’t have seen Vick’s exploits. Let’s take 7-3 and be very happy with it!

Incidentally, those 3 losses were all against .500 or better teams (Packers, Redskins, Titans) while the Eagles have beaten 5 .500 or better teams (Jaguars, Falcons, Colts, Redskins, Giants). The other 2 wins were against teams with a losing record (Lions, 49ers).

Of the remaining 6 teams to play, 4 of them have a losing record, though the Cowboys are included in that number twice and surely won’t be as easy to beat as their record suggests. Or will they?!

Week 12 @ Bears

The Bears are all about defense. They’re 3rd in the NFL in yards given up (Eagles 9th) and they’re 2nd in interceptions (Eagles 1st) going up against Vick who hasn’t thrown one all year. Add to that that they’re only the 21st ranked team for sacks (Eagles 9th) and I start to feel confident that another big game is in the cards for #7. If they sit back in their Cover 2, Vick will hurt them with his scrambling ability and if they load the line, Jackson and Maclin will have a field day.

On the other side of the ball, the Bears are the 30th ranked team for total yards (Eagles 2nd) and 26th for touchdowns (Eagles 3rd). The Bears appear to end most of their drives in field goals, being ranked 9th. The Eagles are ranked 5th for the same stat and that would be more of a worry if it wasn’t for the amount of touchdowns being clocked up. Safer hands from the Receivers and a certain Mr. Celek could up the touchdown percentage considerably.

I’m putting this one down as a win.

Week 13 v Texans

Win. The Texans suck. Badly. Their game at the Jets was shown on TV over here in the UK last Sunday and it was blindingly obvious that Mark Sanchez would get the late touchdown he needed to win the game. The Texans Secondary is awful. Worse than awful. If you have Vick, Jackson, Maclin, Avant, etc. on your fantasy roster make sure you start them in Week 13!

Week 14 @ Cowboys

The news this week is that Tony Romo’s collar bone is still not healed (shame!) and that he won’t play in this game. The Cowboys are picking up, but Jason Garrett was Offensive Coordinator under the previous Head Coach, so if he was that good then surely the team wouldn’t have been so bad before? The Eagles have some revenge to inflict for those two games at the end of last season and the Receivers especially have a point to prove. By the time game day comes around, the Cowboys could well be 3-9 with games against the Saints and Colts in Weeks 12 and 13. That’ll destroy any momentum that the coaching change has given them and play right into the hands of the Birds. [Already a loss in 12, as the Cowboys lost to the Saints. Steve wrote this before Thursday. – Chuck]

Win.

Week 15 @ Giants

The Giants are the only credible threat in the NFC East this year. They also have a fairly kind schedule between now and the end of the season which includes the Jaguars, Redskins (twice) and Vikings. It also, however, includes the Packers and Eagles. This game could go either way. The Eagles certainly had some luck against the Giants last Sunday, though the Eagles Receivers could have had the game won by half time. As it’s at the Meadowlands, I think the Giants just about have the edge.

Loss.

Week 16 v Vikings

The Vikings are dead in the water. They sit at 3-7, they’ve fired Brad Childress and by all accounts Brett Favre has headed to Mississippi to “think things over.” What’s the betting that he’s placed on IR to save face and the Eagles come up against Tarvaris Jackson? The Vikings have to play the Redskins, Bills, Giants and Bears before they travel to the Linc and by that time they’ll be looking forward to the summer.

Win.

Week 17 v Cowboys

Maybe Tony Romo will be back. Maybe Jason Garrett will need the win to secure the Head Coaching job permanently. Maybe the Cowboys will have fought their way back to 7-8. Only one thing’s for sure; the form book will go out the window and anything could happen. Whatever the Cowboys are playing for, none of it will include a trophy while the Eagles could be looking to secure home field advantage for the post season. Has to be a win, surely?

So there we have it. The Eagles will end the season 12-4 and battle it out with Atlanta in the NFC Championship Game. Mike Vick will destroy his former team and win Superbowl MVP in Dallas as the demons from 2004 are exorcised against the Patriots. Glad that’s settled then. Now let’s sit back and enjoy the football this team is playing!

Cheers from the UK and GO BIRDS!

EaglesFanCast 98 – Another Giant Win

PHILADELPHIA - NOVEMBER 21: Eli Manning  of the New York Giants looks on against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on November 21, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Michael Heiman/Getty Images)

The Philadelphia Eagles host the New York Giants Sunday night for a battle for first place in the NFC East.  With wins coming both the Redskins and the Cowboys earlier in the day, the game became very big by the time 8:00pm rolled around.  Despite a worry by some that this game would be a let down after such a tremendous and historic win the previous week over the Washington Redskins on Monday Night Football, the Eagles overcame some mistakes and continued bad officiating to beat the Giants by ten points.  This places the Eagles atop the NFC East all alone and in the middle of the pack of the best teams now in the hunt for a playoff spot as November winds down.  Vick was not at his best, and there were key end zone drops by the ol’ reliables, Jason Avant and Desean Jackson.  The Eagles Defense played a great game, and although not recording a sack, had three interceptions and a fumble recovery that helped win the game.  Next, the Eagles travel to Chicago and take on the Bears in a very tough, and possibly critical NFC matchup.

What we discussed:

  • Eagles beat the Giants 27-17 at Lincoln Financial Field, moving to the top of the NFC East
  • What are we thankful for this Thanksgiving?
  • Jason Avant and Desean Jackson’s drops came close to beating us
  • Again we take serious issues with the officiating
  • Broadcaster Cris Collinsworth was all about disrespecting the Eagles on Sunday Night Football
  • Michael Vick and Kevin Kolb options moving forward
  • The Eagles go to Chicago and take on the Bears next
  • Who will be this week’s star player?
  • EFC Fantasy Football weekly roundup

Giant ways to get in touch:

Email: fans [at] EaglesFanCast.net

Voicemail Line: 1 (856) 335-3675

Twitter: @EaglesFanCast

Facebook: facebook.com/EaglesFanCast

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NFC East Prediction 2010

It’s a new era for our Philadelphia Eagles. Donovan McNabb has headed off to Washington and our fate now largely rests in the talented, yet unproven hands of Kevin Kolb. I’ve heard predictions for the 2010 season ranging from 6-10 all the way to Superbowl champs, so what does history suggest is in store over the next few months? In order to attempt to predict the future, I’ve analyzed the win-loss records of each NFL team for the past 10 seasons and this is what I’ve discovered.

NFL 10 Year Record – Regular Season
1st 2nd 3rd= 3rd= 5th 6th 7th 8th
Colts Patriots Steelers Eagles Packers Broncos Ravens Titans
W 115 112 103 103 95 93 92 91
L 45 48 56 56 65 67 68 69
T 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
.719 .700 .647 .647 .594 .581 .575 .569
9th 10th 11th 12th 13th= 13th= 15th 16th
Giants Chargers Vikings Saints Seahawks Cowboys Bears Jets
W 88 85 84 83 82 82 81 80
L 72 75 76 77 78 78 79 80
T 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
.550 .531 .525 .519 .513 .513 .506 .500
17th= 17th= 17th= 20th 21st 22nd 23rd= 23rd=
Buccs Dolphins Panthers Jaguars Falcons Rams Redskins Chiefs
W 79 79 79 76 75 71 70 70
L 81 81 81 84 84 89 90 90
T 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
.494 .494 .494 .475 .472 .444 .438 .438
25th 26th 27th 28th= 28th= 30th 31st 32nd
Bengals 49ers Bills Raiders Cardinals Texans Browns Lions
W 68 68 66 62 62 49 57 41
L 91 92 94 98 98 79 103 119
T 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
.428 .425 .413 .388 .388 .383 .356 .256

Unsurprisingly, the Colts (.719) and Patriots (.700) have the best records in the regular season, but tied in 3rd position are the Steelers and Eagles, both with a record of .647 (103-56-1). This gives the Eagles the best record in the NFC, followed by the Packers who are 5th overall. Of the top 10 NFL teams, only 3 hail from the NFC with the Giants making up the trio.

Over the past decade, the NFC East teams shape up as follows:-

Eagles           .647
Giants           .550
Cowboys      .513
Redskins       .438

That makes satisfying reading for Eagles fans, but how can I use this to predict the 2010 season?

Well, I figure that the most relevant season in history is the last one, so I’ve awarded 10 points for each win during 2009. This gives the Eagles 110 points (11 wins x 10 points). Then in 2008, I’ve awarded 9 points per win which means that the Eagles bank another 81 points for their 9 wins. I’ve followed this all the way back to 2000 where the 11 wins are worth 1 point each, so 11 in all. Adding the points for each season together gives me a total of 543, but in order to convert this to a single season win record I need to divide by 55 (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 + 10). I then end up with 9.87 (543 / 55) and so from the record of the last 10 NFL seasons, I predict that the Eagles will end up 10-6 in 2010. I’d take that!

If this system works, the NFC East will end up as follows:-

Eagles           10-6
Giants             9-7
Cowboys        9-7
Redskins         7-9

But can history really predict the future accurately? Maybe. The stats for the 10 years previous to 2009 predicted a 10-6 season for the Eagles in 2010 and 11-5 was only 1 game out. The Giants’ prediction was also 1 game out, 9-7 against an actual record of 8-8. The Cowboys had a projected season of 9-7 which was 2 games out of their final 11-5 and the Redskins were 3 games behind their predicted 7-9 finishing 4-12. In total, the NFC East prediction was 7 games out which isn’t so bad out of the 64 games played between the four teams.

I’d say that the Giants prediction for 2010 is about right, one game better than last year. Even the Redskins could achieve their 7-9 if McNabb stays fit (what does history tell us about McNabb’s durability?!). I do think though that the Cowboys are better than 9-7 and who knows if the Eagles can get to 10-6 with essentially a rookie Quarterback? Time will tell on that, but I don’t think that 10-6 is unreasonable if Kolb can hit the ground running.

How about post-season?

NFL 10 Year Record – Post Season
1st 2nd= 2nd= 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Patriots Steelers Saints Cardinals Panthers Ravens Raiders Eagles
W 14 10 5 4 5 8 4 10
L 4 4 2 2 3 5 3 8
.778 .714 .714 .667 .625 .615 .571 .556
9th 10th 11th= 11th= 13th= 13th= 13th= 16th=
Giants Colts Seahawks Jets Rams Buccs Vikings Bears
W 6 9 4 4 3 3 3 2
L 5 8 5 5 4 4 4 3
.545 .529 .444 .444 .429 .429 .429 .400
16th= 18th 19th= 19th= 19th= 19th= 23rd 24th
Falcons Chargers Packers Jaguars Redskins 49ers Titans Dolphins
W 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 1
L 3 5 6 2 2 2 5 3
.400 .375 .333 .333 .333 .333 .286 .250
25th= 25th= 27th= 27th= 27th= 27th= 27th= 27th=
Broncos Cowboys Chiefs Bengals Browns Bills Lions Texans
W 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
L 4 4 2 2 1 0 0 0
.200 .200 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000

The Eagles have the 8th best record in the NFL over the past 10 years with .556 and this is 4th in the NFC behind Saints, Cardinals and Panthers. Interestingly, the Eagles have played 18 post-season games over the past decade and the rest of the NFC East teams combined have only managed 19! The Eagles are actually tied 1st with the Patriots for the number of post-season games played over the past 10 years in the NFL. That’s pretty impressive, though out of the top 6 (Eagles, Patriots, Colts, Steelers, Ravens, Giants) the Eagles are the only team not to have won a Superbowl in that time.

Here’s another historical fact for you. The Phillies have won the NL Pennant 6 times since 1950 and in all but 1 of those seasons, the Eagles finished their regular season .500 or higher. The Phils are starting to get it together and could quite conceivably clinch NL Pennant number 7, but am I clutching at straws now to try and convince myself that the Eagles are heading into a winning season? Quite possibly!

A lot rests in the hands of #4, but in Kolb we trust!

Cheers from the UK and GO BIRDS!

Episode 27 – Scouts Notebook Part 2

Show Notes: Episode 27 for Tuesday, May 13, 2008

  • We have Tommy Lawlor from The Scouts Notebook back with us tonight!
  • We cover how the Philadelphia Eagles did in the 2008 NFL Draft
  • Talk of rumors for a Chad Johnson, Lito Sheppard & “something” trade
  • Jake Delhomme update
  • WR DeSean Jackson analysis: instant impact as returner
  • RB Lorenzo Booker analysis: strategic use player
  • S Quintin Demps analysis
  • DE Bryan Smith, CB Jack Ikegwuonu discussions
  • OT King Dunlap talk
  • Tommy’s grade for Eagles 2008: B+
  • Who do we say good-bye to before the start of the 2008 season?
  • How did the other NFC East teams do in the Draft?

Show Links:

email: fans [at] EaglesFanCast.net

Voicemail Line: 1(856)335-3675

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