Tag Archives: McNabb

NFC East Prediction 2011

This time last year I was talking about the new era under Kevin Kolb and how the Eagles could well be a team in transition. Now, Kolb’s career in Philly is over. Blink and you’ll have missed it!

Was last year a transitional season? I think it was meant to be. I don’t think that many Eagles fans truly believed we’d get to the playoffs and one of the main reasons we did was that the NFC East was in such a mess. I didn’t expect McNabb to crash and burn so spectacularly in Washington and who could have foreseen Dallas challenging Carolina for last place in the NFL until their form picked up under Kitna?

The other main reason that the Eagles won the NFC East and marched into the playoffs was the star reborn, Mr Michael Dwayne Vick.

When Vick signed for the Eagles, I had a #7 jersey shipped over to the UK right away. I knew he was going to be a back-up for McNabb and I knew about his previous problems, but he was still one of the most exciting players ever to play the game and he was an Eagle! At the end of that first season there were talks of a trade and then Kolb was named starter, but I still wore my #7 jersey. Then week one came, Kolb was KO’d and Vick took over the team. And how!

There were certainly areas, especially on defense, where the Eagles were lacking. The secondary was decimated and it really started to show as the playoffs loomed. Even the offense had problems. Short yardage situations were a nightmare and Vick often took it upon himself to singlehandedly make first downs. This led to injury and meant that when I flew in for the Falcons game I saw Kolb rather than Vick at QB, not that I complained after his performance that day!

A stronger, faster, meaner Mike Vick dragged the team right into the playoffs and it appears that the Eagles’ Front Office were as impressed with #7 as the rest of the world. This off season, they’ve gone out and spent dollars. Lots of them. It’s almost as if they realized that in Vick they have something very special, a Quarterback capable of winning the big one. If this was a game of poker, the Eagles just went “all in”.

It’s difficult to predict the future, but last season I was only 5 games out when looking at the NFC East as a whole. How did I do it? Well, I figure that the most relevant season in history is the last one, so I’ve awarded 10 points for each win during 2010. This gives the Eagles 100 points (10 wins x 10 points). Then in 2009, I’ve awarded 9 points per win which means that the Eagles bank another 99 points for their 11 wins. I’ve followed this all the way back to 2001 where the 11 wins are worth 1 point each, so 11 in all. Adding the points for each season together gives me a total of 540, but in order to convert this to a single season win record I need to divide by 55 (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 + 10). I then end up with 9.82 (540 / 55) and so from the record of the last 10 NFL seasons, I predict that the Eagles will end up 10-6 in 2011.

Interestingly, the stats have come up with exactly the same prediction for the NFC East as it did last year:-

Eagles 10-6
Giants 9-7
Cowboys 9-7
Redskins 7-9

Of course, what actually happened last year was:-

Eagles 10-6
Giants 10-6
Cowboys 6-10
Redskins 6-10

The prediction for the Eagles was spot on, the Giants and Redskins were just 1 game out and even historical data couldn’t predict the horrible mess in Dallas (haha!).

Eagles 10-6 in 2011? I’d be disappointed with that, to be honest. With the hype surrounding this team and the massive upgrade in personnel, I believe we should be looking realistically at between 12 and 14 wins. The Giants are likely to be the biggest threat in the division, 9-7 or maybe 10-6 for them. The Cowboys… well… can we dare wish for more comedy from Jerry’s circus? I’m sure all their fans are predicting 16-0 like they do every year, but it would be a big turnaround if the managed a winning season at all. And the poor Redskins with Rex Grossman leading them. Can they get 7 wins? They do have some pretty average teams on their schedule, but I still think that 7 wins will be a stretch.

I’m not too confident that the stats system will be as accurate this year, but then I didn’t expect the ‘transitional’ Eagles to achieve 10-6 in 2010. As it happens I was spot on. Only time will tell. Well, time and #7 staying healthy for the season.

Cheers from the UK and GO BIRDS!

EaglesFanCast 111 – In Vick We Trust

The Philadelphia Eagles play their third preseason game against the Cleveland Browns on a rainy night in Philly, leaving only one game before the welcome start of the regular season.  The big news, though, is the new contract that the Eagles and quarterback Michael Vick agreed to yesterday. Although the details vary, essentially it is a 6-year $100 million deal with almost $40 million guaranteed for our starting QB.  We talk about what that means to DeSean Jackson’s contract extension that both he and the fans want.  Either way, we will see Vick leading the Offense in midnight green for years to come.

What we discussed:

  • The Eagles beat the Cleveland Browns in the third preseason game
  • Vick’s contract places him among the highest paid in the NFL
  • Jason Kelce is named the new starting Center
  • Both Danny Watkins and Kelce are starting rookies on the Offensive line, and it’s a concern for Vick’s safety
  • Linebackers discussion
  • The EFC Fantasy Football League will be back, and we will be using NFL.com this year. There will be 12 teams and the preliminary Draft date is set for Wednesday, September 7th.
  • EFC has partnered with GM, who will be loaning Eric and Chuck a couple of Chevrolet Camaro’s for a week to play with in September.  We encourage you to visit their site at www.drivingthenortheast.com and follow them on twitter, @GMNortheast
The same deal:

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EaglesFanCast 108 – The Lockout Is Over

The NFL lockout is over, and the teams, players and staff are reporting back to work in an official manner.  The day has been busy with news around the league, but not much so far in the Philadelphia Eagles camp, with only some rookie free agent signings and a number of rumors.

We come back from our lockout hiatus and jump into what we know so far and what we expect from here.

What we discussed:

  • The Philadelphia Eagles will not be re-signing any of their free agents
  • Surprised that Stewart Bradley will not be back
  • Longtime favorite David Akers, a kicking legend in Philly and the last of the Eagles Super Bowl team, will also be gone
  • We talk about Kevin Kolb and how his status is affected by the Seahawks’ signing of two quarterbacks
  • Brett Favre coming to Philly? No way, Eskin.
  • Somehow Todd gets to talking about how bad Donovan McNabb played in that fateful Super Bowl
  • We get a voicemail from Elijah Smalls

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EaglesFanCast 106 – NFL Draft 2011

The NFL Draft starts primetime on Thursday, April 28 2011.  We have our old friend Tommy Lawlor back on, picking his mock-draft-making, player-analyzing, game-recording brain to find out about his feelings on this years Philadelphia Eagles prospects and picks.  As figuring it all out is futile for just about anyone, Tommy comes the closest with the deepest insight for Eagles fans on what our team will do starting Thursday.  It’s impossible to keep up with him, so we just press Record and listen in amazement and awe.

We touch on the news that U.S. District Judge Susan Richard Nelson ordered an end to the NFL lockout, then move on to the Draft.  We talk players, potential moves, and how the lockout has affected things so far.  Tommy refers to this class as “below average” at one point, but we talk about the 2011 Class’s strength, Tommy’s favorite prospects for the entire draft, and more.

Tommy will be back again in two weeks (May 10th) for the annual post-Draft show where we will talk about what the Eagles accomplished this week.

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EaglesFanCast 105 – Eagles Schedule 2011

After a few months’ hiatus, the show is back. Jason from Bleeding Green Nation and SB Nation Philly is on tonight and we talk mostly about the newly-released 2011 Eagles schedule. It’s so early to truly evaluate the schedule and the Eagles chances this year, especially with the uncertainty of the current NFL lockout and negotiations. Jason and Chuck touch on the lockout, and the trickle down issues having to do with player conditioning, finances and more.

Overall, we both feel that the schedule looks like a challenging one, but can be one that the Eagles can excel and prove themselves in a very public eye.  Five of the games are primetime, with three more in the later slot, so half of their schedule are nationally televised.  Eagles fans will get to see plenty of their team no matter where they are.

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